Odds, picks and predictions for Mississippi State in Texas

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3, 0-1 SEC) will face the second place team Texas Longhorns (4-0, 0-0) on Saturday in a conference game at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze the 24/7 college football odds from BetMGM Sportsbook Mississippi State vs. Texas Opportunitiesand make our college football picks and predictions.

The Bulldogs have struggled, losing three straight games since a 56-7 win over FCS Eastern Kentucky to open the season. After a narrow 30-23 loss at Arizona State, Mississippi State lost 41-17 at home to Toledo and 45-28 to Florida.

To make matters worse, the Bulldogs lost their QB Blake Shaping to a season-ending shoulder injury. Freshman QB Michael Van Buren Jr. will make his first start in Shapen’s absence.

Texas also has a quarterback injury question as a QB Quinn Ewers has been sidelined since leaving the UTSA win on Sept. 14 with an abdominal injury. QB Arch Manning started in his place and has done well, scoring a total of 7 TDs and 2 INTs in the last two games.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Survey conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Mississippi State at Texas odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of college football odds. Lines were last updated at 12:55 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Off the Board (OTB)
• Against the spread: Mississippi State +38.5 (-110) | Texas -38.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Tips and predictions for Mississippi State in Texas

forecast

Texas 54, Mississippi State 13

Money line

There was no moneyline at the time of publication, but it wouldn’t be worth pursuing anyway.

HAPPEN.

Against the spread

Watch TEXAS -38.5 (-110) heading into this game. Regardless of whether Ewers or Manning is at center for the Longhorns, they should be able to take a page from the heavily undermatched Mississippi State team +38.5 (-110).

The Bulldogs are adjusting to a new QB under center, and facing the No. 2 team in the country in Austin for the first time in college is extremely challenging.

Texas has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in 4 tries this season, while Mississippi State has failed to cover 3 in a row, going 0-3 ATS in its 3 games against FBS opponents.

Over/Under

OVER 60.5 (-110) is a strong team in this game and it wouldn’t be surprising if Texas does most of the heavy lifting, if not the cash heavy lifting, on their own and without any help from Mississippi State.

The Over has cashed in each of the Bulldogs’ last two games, with the Stark Vegas defense allowing 43.0 PPG against unranked teams Toledo and Florida.

Meanwhile, Texas has scored 51 or more points in 3 of 4 games this season while posting a high win total in 3 straight games.

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