Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Line, Time: 2024 ALCS Game 5 Tips, MLB Playoff Betting Based on Proven Model

The New York Yankees will try to punch their ticket to the World Series for the first time since 2009 when they take on the Cleveland Guardians in Game 5 of the 2024 ALCS on Saturday night. New York earned an 8-6 win in Game 4 on Friday night to take a 3-1 lead. The Yankees send left-handed pitcher Carlos Rodon (1-1, 4.66 ERA in the 2024 MLB Playoffs) to the mound where he will look to build on his performance in Game 1 (one run over six innings). Cleveland will counter Rodon with right-hander Tanner Bibee (0-1, 3.60 ERA), who lasted just 1.1 innings and gave up three runs on five hits in the series opener.

First pitch from Progressive Field in Cleveland is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET. New York is the -125 favorite on the money line (risking $125 to win $100) in the latest Yankees vs. Guardians odds from the SportsLine consensus, while the total number of runs that Vegas estimates, or the over/under, is at 7.5, half a run before the opener. Before you make a Guardians vs. Yankees pick, be sure to check out the MLB predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It entered the 2024 NLCS and ALCS with a 32-17 record with top-rated run line picks (+822) dating back to last season. Anyone who follows it has seen strong returns in sports betting and betting apps.

Now the model has set its sights on the Yankees vs. Guardians game and has just set its picks and MLB predictions. You can now head over to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Guardians vs. Yankees:

• Money line Yankees vs. Guardians: New York -125, Cleveland +105
• Yankees vs. Guardians over/under: 7.5 runs
• Yankees vs. Guardians running line: New York -1.5 (+139)
• NYY: The Yankees are 6-1 in their last seven road games
• CLE: The Guardians have lost in 13 of their last 19 home games
• Yankees vs. Guardians picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Yankees vs. Guardians Streaming: FuboTV (Try Free)

Why you should support the Yankees

New York never trailed in its Game 4 win and took the decisive series lead. Slugger Giancarlo Stanton hit a home run for the fourth time in the 2024 MLB Playoffs, giving his team a 6-2 lead midway through the game. He also hit a go-ahead home run in the eighth inning of Game 3 on Thursday before the Guardians rallied in the bottom of the ninth inning.

Rodon went 16-9 with a 3.96 ERA in 32 regular season starts and had a strong performance in Game 1 of the ALCS. The Yankees are also in a better position with their bullpen, as the Guardians have had to use most of their key weapons over the last two days. New York has won five of the last six meetings between these teams. See which team you should choose here.

Why you should support the Guardians

Cleveland came up short Friday night, but its resiliency was evident once again. The Guardians scored four straight runs in the eighth inning to tie the game before the Yankees scored twice in the ninth inning. They have their best pitcher on the mound in this game as Bibee went 12-8 with a 3.47 ERA in 31 regular season starts.

Bibee is coming off a difficult performance in Game 1, but a long performance on Saturday would put Cleveland in a strong position. Outfielder Steven Kwan was the Guardians’ best hitter this postseason, recording 15 hits in 37 at-bats. Meanwhile, Lane Thomas, David Fry and Jose Ramirez each hit two home runs in the playoffs. See which team you should choose here.

Here’s how to make the Guardians vs. Yankees picks

SportsLine’s model leans more toward total runs, predicting 8.9 combined runs. It is also said that one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the MLB model selection at SportsLine.

So who wins Yankees vs. Guardians and which side has the most value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to jump on and find out based on the model featuring a 32-17 shooting record and top-rated MLB run-line picks.