Bears vs. Rams odds, line, time: 2024 NFL picks, Week 4 predictions from an advanced computer model

The Los Angeles Rams (1-2) are looking for their second surprise win in a row against the Chicago Bears (1-2) on Sunday afternoon. Los Angeles ended a two-game losing streak with a 27-24 win over San Francisco last week and was a 6-point underdog at home. Chicago opened the season with a 24-17 win over Tennessee, but has since lost to Houston and Indianapolis. This will be the first meeting between these teams since the Rams earned a 34-14 home win over the Bears in 2021.

Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET at Soldier Field. The Bears have a 3-point advantage in the latest Bears vs. Rams odds, while the over/under is at 40.5 points according to the SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Rams vs. Bears picks, be sure to check out the model’s NFL predictions at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has gained well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks since its launch for $100 players. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season with an incredible 188-130 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. Since Week 7 of 2022, the record among top-rated NFL picks is 42-22.

The model also ranked in the top 10 in straight NFL picks on NFLPickWatch over the past six years, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports’ football pick’em players four times during that period. Anyone who has followed it is way up there.

The model has Los Angeles vs. Chicago in its sights. You can head over to SportsLine to check out the picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:

• Bears vs. Rams Spread: Bears -3
• Bears vs. Rams over/under: 40.5 points
• Money line Bears vs. Rams: Bears -154, Rams +131
• Bears vs. Rams picks: View picks here

Why the Bears can cover

Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams has had great performances in his first three games and is putting in his best performance as a pro. He had 363 passing yards and two touchdowns in a narrow loss to Indianapolis as rookie wide receiver Rome Odunze topped 100 yards for the first time in his career. The Bears face a Rams defense that has allowed the fifth-most passing yards and second-highest EPA per dropback, according to Pro Football Focus.

Veteran wide receiver Keenan Allen (heel) could return to the field this week after moving to full practice participation on Friday. Meanwhile, the Rams will be without star wide receivers Cooper Kupp (ankle) and Puka Nacua (knee). Chicago is on a six-game home winning streak and has tied that streak in five of its last six games against NFC opponents. See which team you should choose here.

Why the Rams can cover

Los Angeles surprisingly picked up its first win of the season last week, defeating San Francisco as a 6-point underdog. The Rams were without wide receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, but Tutu Atwell added four receptions for 93 yards. They also leaned heavily on running back Kyren Williams, who had 89 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

Chicago has the second-fewest rushing yards per game (72.7) in the NFL this season as D’Andre Swift averages just 1.8 yards per attempt. Williams was also sacked 13 times behind a struggling offensive line, and the Rams have two outstanding young pass rushers in Byron Young and Jared Verse. The Rams have covered the spread in eight of their last 11 games. See which team you should choose here.

How to pick the Bears vs. Rams

The model has simulated Rams vs. Bears 10,000 times and the results are in. The model leans forward and has also generated a point spread pick that hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who will win Chicago vs. Los Angeles on Sunday and which side of the spread will score nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rams vs. Bears you should be on Sunday, starting with a 188-130 roll on the top-rated NFL picks, and find out.