Falcons vs. Saints odds, line, time: 2024 NFL picks, Week 4 predictions using a proven computer model

The Atlanta Falcons (1-2) will play their first division game of the season when they take on the New Orleans Saints (2-1) in an NFC South matchup on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta surprised Philadelphia with a comeback road win two weeks ago before falling to Kansas City in a 22-17 final last week. New Orleans had two stunning victories to open the season, but lost by a field goal to Philadelphia last Sunday. These rivals split their series last year, with the home team winning both times.

Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons have the advantage in the latest Falcons vs. Saints odds by 2.5 points, while the over/under is 41.5 points according to the SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Saints vs. Falcons picks, be sure to check out the model’s NFL predictions at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has gained well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks since its launch for $100 players. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season with an incredible 188-130 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. Since Week 7 of 2022, the record among top-rated NFL picks is 42-22.

The model also ranked in the top 10 in straight NFL picks on NFLPickWatch over the past six years, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports’ football pick’em players four times during that period. Anyone who has followed it is way up there.

The model has New Orleans vs. Atlanta in its sights. You can head over to SportsLine to check out the picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:

• Falcons vs. Saints distribution: Falcons -2.5
• Falcons vs. Saints over/under: 41.5 points
• Moneyline Falcons vs. Saints: Falcons -124, Saints +115
• Falcons vs. Saints picks: View picks here

Why the Falcons can cover

Atlanta is home for the third time in its first four games, while New Orleans is on the road for the second time in three weeks. The Falcons beat Philadelphia two weeks ago with a game-winning touchdown drive engineered by quarterback Kirk Cousins, and he came close to pulling off another such drive last week against Kansas City. Cousins ​​has thrown for 626 yards and four touchdowns in his first three games of the season while completing 66.7% of his passes.

Wide receiver Drake London became the fastest player in Falcons history to reach 150 career receptions after catching six passes against the Chiefs. New Orleans suffered its first loss of the season as its offense remained quiet after a 15-12 setback against the Eagles. The Falcons have covered the spread in four of their last six games against the Saints, including a 24-15 home win last season. See which team you should choose here.

Why the Saints can cover

New Orleans was the second-highest scoring team in the NFL through the first three weeks of the season, averaging 34.3 points per game. The Saints picked up a stunning 44-point win in Dallas in their only road game, as running back Alvin Kamara rushed for 115 yards and three touchdowns while catching two passes for 65 yards and a score.

Veteran quarterback Derek Carr leads the high-powered offense with 585 passing yards and six touchdowns, with Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed and Kamara all having over 130 receiving yards. He faces an Atlanta defense that has allowed at least 18 points in every game. The Saints had won five straight games in Atlanta before last year’s loss, and they have erased that lead in four of their last five games. See which team you should choose here.

How to make Falcons vs. Saints picks

The model has simulated Saints vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. The model leans forward and has also generated a point spread pick that hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who will win Atlanta vs. New Orleans on Sunday and which side of the spread will score well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Saints vs. Falcons you should be on Sunday, starting with a 188-130 roll on the top-rated NFL picks, and find out.