Analyzing the Texas Longhorns schedule using the ESPN matchup predictor.

The Texas Longhorns are no longer undefeated. You are no longer number 1 in the rankings. In both surveys. Frankly, they look more vulnerable than at any point in the last two seasons.

The Horns failed their big test on Saturday against Georgia. Failed pretty miserably. Nothing clicked on either side of the ball as the Bulldogs rolled past Texas 30-15.

It’s hard to know what Texas really is now. Was it just a bad day at the office? Was it a mental loss that Georgia really wanted to win while Texas read its own headlines? Were the Longhorns “taking pictures” and “doing superstar things,” as Georgia coach Kirby Smart suggested?

Was the secondary exposed or flat? Was the offensive line overrated or simply beaten on a bad night?

Quinn Ewers is a big concern. He never seemed comfortable. He never looked more confident than he did against Michigan. He was replaced. Then he was substituted on again. His lack of mobility was clearly evident. His arm strength wasn’t good. Is this still Quinn’s team?

A month ago, we took a look at Texas’ schedule through the eyes of the ESPN matchup forecaster. At the end of September, Texas was the favorite in all remaining games. The largest lead came against the Georgia Bulldogs, where the Longhorns had a projected win rate of 72.5%. And look how that worked out.

Of course, if a team has a 72.5% chance of winning, that also means they have a 27.5% chance of losing. So, in theory, Georgia has beaten the odds.

After the disastrous weekend in Texas, we wanted to take a look at whether and how the odds have changed for the remaining games on the schedule.